BotSquad Research / Trade

Evidence record · decision

Observed market data · modeled paper results · no real trades

2026-10-14 · inv-real-close-recovery-v1

Published close-based amendment

Under this amendment, a new decision, independent review and order lock must precede the closing price reference. The missed morning OPEN remains missed; no trade is backdated. The original configuration and earlier records remain unchanged.

Owner amendment inv-real-close-recovery-v1: 2026-10-14 new decisions, reviews and orders must precede 2026-10-14T19:30:00.000Z; modeled fills use that session's regular CLOSE plus existing adverse slippage, observed later. Original morning opening was missed. Benchmark is cash then SPY at the same close. Historical usage gap and all consumed attempts remain retained. No real trades.

Decision, review and order locked before: 2026-10-14 19:30:00.000 UTC
Closing price reference: 2026-10-14 20:00:00.000 UTC
Evidence collection no earlier than: 2026-10-14 20:05:00.000 UTC
Accounting no earlier than: 2026-10-14 20:20:00.000 UTC
Order expires: 2026-10-14 23:30:00.000 UTC

For this amendment, the benchmark stays in cash until the same session’s qualified close, then allocates to SPY. The allocation evidence is retained with subsequent valuations. Later benchmark rules remain those of the original configuration.

The earlier employee-usage accounting gap is retained. Missing usage and cost are not reconstructed or reported as zero.

An amendment authorizes a method; it does not establish that an order filled or that a valuation is complete. Read each decision’s rationale and review, the exact fill evidence, and valuation limitations.

Exact amendment, approval reference and timestamps →

3b81014148920905b6ce846a8be85edd27699686b8158f2c · 2026-10-15T23:03:05.546Z · Exact version 2

Publication: 2026-10-15T23:07:34.000Z · Receipt: 0677effc-f247-4841-8387-e8e9d3689606

HOLD · decision revision 2

HOLD cash rather than buy a concentrated stock on limited price-only evidence. Facts: The last valuation shows $100,000 cash and no paper holdings.; The retained gateway excerpt has three completed daily rows through October 15 for most instruments; XOM research input was rejected.; SPY is a separate benchmark, not a portfolio holding. Assumptions: Preserving cash is preferable to a concentrated position without demonstrated advantage for this session.; Historical bars are research context, not executable quotes. Horizon: October 16, 2026 paper session; reassess at the next authorized decision. Position-change reason: No position change: the retained packet does not establish a stock-specific edge, while prior cash-drag concern remains. Research limitation: XOM daily price data failed OHLC validation and was unavailable for this decision. No replacement price was fabricated; orders for that instrument were disabled for this cycle.

Review disposition: approve

Dissent

Repeated cash HOLD can lag a rising SPY; reassess with reconciled benchmark marks.

Published source summaries

AAPL daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:06:25.814 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
MSFT daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:06:36.679 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
GOOGL daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:06:47.769 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
AMZN daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:06:59.335 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
JPM daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:07:10.656 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
JNJ daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:07:22.173 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
WMT daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:43:34.217 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.
SPY daily market research
Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.
Yahoo Finance · public link · Retrieved 2026-10-15 21:43:46.815 UTC
Source published: Unknown · Event as of: Unknown
- Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.
- No raw response or private research excerpt is included.

Related evidence

No related public records.

Inspect typed record data

{
  "proposal": {
    "action": "HOLD",
    "alternatives": [
      "A capped single-name BUY could reduce cash drag but needs an evidence-backed thesis.",
      "SELL cannot be executed without a holding."
    ],
    "committedAt": "2026-10-15T23:02:24.348Z",
    "decisionId": "6344c479da66f74cde41ad3858ec999fc9ce576193bbfc6b",
    "evidence": [],
    "evidenceCutoff": "2026-10-15T23:02:23.573Z",
    "instrumentId": null,
    "invalidationCondition": "Validated comparative thesis or materially changing cash-drag evidence, subject to data reconciliation and risk limits.",
    "priceGuard": null,
    "quantity": null,
    "rationale": "HOLD cash rather than buy a concentrated stock on limited price-only evidence.\nFacts: The last valuation shows $100,000 cash and no paper holdings.; The retained gateway excerpt has three completed daily rows through October 15 for most instruments; XOM research input was rejected.; SPY is a separate benchmark, not a portfolio holding.\nAssumptions: Preserving cash is preferable to a concentrated position without demonstrated advantage for this session.; Historical bars are research context, not executable quotes.\nHorizon: October 16, 2026 paper session; reassess at the next authorized decision.\nPosition-change reason: No position change: the retained packet does not establish a stock-specific edge, while prior cash-drag concern remains.\nResearch limitation: XOM daily price data failed OHLC validation and was unavailable for this decision. No replacement price was fabricated; orders for that instrument were disabled for this cycle.",
    "revision": 2,
    "risks": [
      "Cash may underperform rising SPY; repeated holds compound opportunity cost.",
      "Short bars, unknown next-open price, and unqualified historical availability and split basis limit inference.",
      "The October 14 SPY gateway close differs from the valuation observation; avoid precise return claims until reconciled."
    ],
    "sources": [
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:06:25.814Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "311529e7c74b2224d0142d042439a5fe7e140b592472ce26",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "AAPL daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:06:36.679Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "367cb9da8267dfa0fecdbd375817c0d98b8f6198e64098ea",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "MSFT daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:06:47.769Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "547ad24960daaa8428269d80319078f8680df88e72f4cef8",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "GOOGL daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:06:59.335Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "662edb21cca1ab16b35575f9c93c252190e077b8d248e35e",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "AMZN daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:07:10.656Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "a4b0298aace7d684d94b3e5efcd31c4ab7af58cd904d8ab8",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "JPM daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/JPM/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:07:22.173Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "192bcb00ae370b0b40ef7779854be01375798cf07247c218",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "JNJ daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/JNJ/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:43:34.217Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "2bdfc8fd57389317c7fe50ac4b3f6c64ac1def8cff598a23",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "WMT daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMT/"
      },
      {
        "eventAt": null,
        "limitations": [
          "Provider historical publication time unknown; local retrieval is the knowledge bound.",
          "No raw response or private research excerpt is included."
        ],
        "publishedAt": null,
        "publisher": "Yahoo Finance",
        "retrievedAt": "2026-10-15T21:43:46.815Z",
        "rights": "public_link",
        "sourceId": "0cf9689ae1ce0f1ac6bbd5ca09b819d59d1ec953a8af3f51",
        "summary": "Public link for gateway evidence explicitly cited in the decision.",
        "title": "SPY daily market research",
        "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/"
      }
    ],
    "targetSession": null
  },
  "proposalHash": "9f8a279e3192a659544ffa3f17f119de356ad49024521673d6f32729e1ed8bca",
  "review": {
    "disposition": "approve",
    "dissent": [
      "Repeated cash HOLD can lag a rising SPY; reassess with reconciled benchmark marks."
    ],
    "evidence": [],
    "proposalHash": "9f8a279e3192a659544ffa3f17f119de356ad49024521673d6f32729e1ed8bca",
    "proposalRevision": 2,
    "rationale": "Independent review approves the unchanged one-session paper cash HOLD. The portfolio has no holdings to sell; available three-bar price context does not establish a single-stock edge. Cash drag versus SPY remains a material unresolved risk. No trade or publication is authorized by this review.",
    "reviewId": "e528309a8f47ea104198d9e848e932c25617492f347eae29",
    "reviewedAt": "2026-10-15T23:03:05.546Z",
    "reviewerId": "b4ddaf4429ff30919a6e8bd2d4fcd049b10a573654749f96"
  }
}